Eric Buscemi
New York - http://www.theflyonthewall.com
Eric Buscemi, who has worked for the financial news site Theflyonthewall.com for three years, is the head editor of the company's blog. He has a BA and an MA in English from Queens College.
Posted Aug 21st 2008 10:55AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Aetna Inc (AET), Wachovia Corp (WB), Analyst initiations, salesforce.com inc (CRM)
Analyst upgrades:
- William Blair raised Quest Diagnostics (NYSE: DGX) to Outperform from Market Perform. The firm believes that the long-term fundamentals of the clinical laboratories sectors are still strong.
- UBS upgraded Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE) to Buy from Neutral on valuation.
- ArthroCare (NASDAQ: ARTC) was upgraded to Buy from Hold by Lazard, since the firm expects a small restatement while they believe a large restatement is priced into the shares.
- Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral by UBS.
- Merrill Lynch raised Southern Peru Copper (NYSE: PCU) to Neutral from Underperform.
Analyst downgrades:
- Piper downgraded Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) to Neutral from Buy to reflect the company's lower than expected deferred Q2 revenue.
- Goldman Sachs removed Amylin Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ: AMLN) from its Conviction Buy List.
Analyst initiations:
- Aetna (NYSE: AET) was initiated with a Buy by Banc of America, which believes the company will experience industry-leading member growth.
- Banc of America initiated Wellpoint (NYSE: WLP) with a Buy rating, as the firm expects the shares to rebound from near trough valuations.
- Wachovia (NYSE: WB) was reinitiated by Friedman Billings with an Underperform rating, as the firm expects the company to incur higher credit losses than the Street expects due to its outsized exposure to residential real estate.
- Six Flags (NYSE: SIX) was started with an Above Average rating by Caris.
Posted Aug 20th 2008 11:51AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Kohl's Corp (KSS), Yamana Gold (AUY), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Lilly (Eli) (LLY), Analyst initiations, salesforce.com inc (CRM)
Analyst upgrades:
- JP Morgan upgraded O'Reilly (NASDAQ: ORLY) to Overweight from Neutral, citing increased demand and CSK acquisition synergies.
- Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform by RBC Capital, based on valuation and the firm's expectation that gold will rally.
- HSBC upgraded KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) to Overweight from Neutral with a $44 target.
Analyst downgrades:
- Bernstein dropped DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH) to Underperform from Market Perform, citing continued weak operations, declining cash flow, and satellite sector headwinds, among other reasons.
- Macy's (NYSE: M) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy by Goldman Sachs based on valuation.
- Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) was also dropped to Neutral from Buy by Goldman based on valuation.
- UBS downgraded Dr Pepper Snapple (NYSE: DPS) to Neutral from Buy based on valuation.
Analyst initiations:
- Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) was started with a Buy rating by Kaufman Bros., which believes the core on-demand CRM application market is nowhere close to full penetration.
- Caris initiated Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) with a Below Average rating, citing the company's Zyprexa and Cymbalta patent expirations.
- Leerink Swann assumed coverage of Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) with an Outperform, as the firm predicts that the company's denosumab will allow the company to substantially increase its earnings starting in 2010.
Posted Aug 19th 2008 11:33AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Home Depot (HD), Blockbuster Inc 'A' (BBI), Automatic Data Proc (ADP), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Southwest Airlines (LUV), Nortel Networks (NT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Analyst initiations, Juniper Networks (JNPR)
Analyst upgrades:
Analyst downgrades:
Analyst initiations:
- CIBC initiated Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) with a Sector Performer rating based on what they see as the company's limited growth and margin prospects.
- Needham initiated Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) with a Hold rating, citing valuation.
- Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) was initiated with a Hold by Needham, which would like to see if the company's turnaround is sustainable before becoming more constructive on the shares.
Posted Aug 18th 2008 11:41AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Hershey Co (HSY), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Stanford raised Fluor (NYSE: FLR) to Hold from Sell primarily due to valuation.
- Citigroup upgraded Cadence Designs (NASDAQ: CDNS) to Buy from Hold because they think the company's cost restructuring initiative and its new CFO will be catalysts for the shares.
Analyst downgrades:
- Stephens dropped Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) to Equal Weight from Overweight because they no longer view LOFT as a compelling reason to invest in the company.
- Citigroup downgraded Hershey (NYSE: HSY) to Hold from Buy on valuation.
- KeyBanc dropped Lennox (NYSE: LII) to Hold from Buy on valuation.
Analyst initiations:
- Coverage of Hershey was assumed with a Sell by Stifel, which cited valuation for its rating.
- FARO Technology (NASDAQ: FARO) was initiated by Needham with a Buy rating.
- Leerink Swann resumed coverage of Cardionet (NASDAQ: BEAT) with an Outperform, as the firm predicts that the company's technolgoy will enable it to grow substantially.
Posted Aug 5th 2008 11:15AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Apple Inc (AAPL), Dell (DELL), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), Amer Intl Group (AIG), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Merrill upgraded shares of AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) to Neutral from Underperform to reflect the company's pipeline momentum and lack of negative catalysts.
- Keefe Bruyette upgraded Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation as they believe DB should trade at a higher multiple.
- Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) was raised at HSBC to Overweight from Neutral.
- American International (NYSE: AIG) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
Analyst downgrades:
- Merrill cut Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO) to Underperform from Neutral as the firm sees better opportunities elsewhere in the sector.
- Merriman downgraded Rackable Systems (NASDAQ: RACK) to Neutral from Buy following the company's mixed Q2 results to reflect its customer concentration and fluctuating margins.
- Janus Capital (NYSE: JNS) was downgraded at JP Morgan to Underweight from Neutral.
- Fortress (NYSE: FIG) was cut to Sell from Hold at Citigroup.
Analyst initiations:
- UBS believes Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has a competitive advantage and their checks indicate new Macs, new iPhone colors and potentially new iPods may come early on in the second half of 2008. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating and $195 target. UBS also initiated Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) at Neutral.
- KeyBanc initiated Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY) with an Underweight rating and $25 target based on slowing core growth at Bed Bath and likely margin erosion from the ramp in growth at Christmas Tree Shops and buybuy Baby.
- Infineon (NYSE: IFX) was initiated with a Buy rating at Deutsche Bank.
Posted Aug 4th 2008 11:30AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Nortel Networks (NT), Genentech Inc (DNA), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Analyst initiations, Deere and Co (DE), Akamai Technologies (AKAM)
Analyst upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded shares of Akamai (NASDAQ: AKAM) to Buy from Hold on valuation, as they see a long-term buying opportunity following the recent correction. The firm maintains a $29 target.
- Moody's (NYSE: MCO) was upgraded to Overweight from Underweight at Lehman.
- Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Merrill Lynch.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jefferies downgraded shares of Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) to Hold from Buy on concerns about the company's ability to hit expectations and drive margin expansion in the face of an eroding CDMA revenue stream. The firm lowered their target to $7.25 from $11.
- B. Riley cut Charlotte Russe (NASDAQ: CHIC) to Neutral from Buy on concerns about how well the company can perform with the interim management team, especially in light of the current retail environment. The firm lowered their target to $14 from $17. Roth Capital downgraded shares to Sell from Hold to reflect the management uncertainty and lowered their target to $9 from $14.
- Goldman cut Warner Music (NYSE: WMG) to Sell from Neutral and Deere (NYSE: DE) to Neutral from Buy.
Analyst initiations:
- Banc of America expects top-line growth at Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) to be driven by Denosumab and for investors to look to the stock for biotech exposure following the potential acquisition of Genentech (NYSE: DNA). The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $70 target.
- Sirius Satellite (NASDAQ: SIRI) was initiated at JP Morgan with a Neutral rating.
Posted Aug 1st 2008 11:30AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded shares of Omnicare (NYSE: OCR) to Buy from Hold and raised their target to $37 from $24.50 following the company's Q2 results to reflect improving earnings visibility.
- Piper upgraded Motorola (NYSE: MOT) to Neutral from Sell following the company's Q2 results to reflect its continued execution in cost management. The firm raised its target to $9 from $7.
- Capital One Southcoast upgraded Patterson-UTI Energy (NASDAQ: PTEN) to Add from Neutral based on additional new builds already under contract and rig reactivations. The firm raised its target to $36 from $32.
Analyst downgrades:
- Citigroup downgraded shares of ImClone (NASDAQ: IMCL) to Hold from Buy despite thinking the initial offer from Bristol Myers (BMY) will be raised, as they do not advise chasing shares at current levels. The company's target was raised to $73 from $56.
- First Mercury (NYSE: FMR) and Monster (NASDAQ: MNST) were downgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Overweight.
- Jefferies lowered Osiris Therapeutics (NASDAQ: OSIR) to Underperform from Hold.
Analyst initiations:
- Morgan Keegan initiated Cicso Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) with a Market Perform rating, citing the difficult macro environment; the firm believes 2H08 estimates will come down.
- Banc of America reinstated coverage of MF Global (NYSE: MF) with a Buy rating and $8.36 target.
Posted Jul 31st 2008 11:46AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, RadioShack Corp (RSH), Analyst initiations, Calif Pizza Kitchen (CPKI)
Analyst upgrades:
- Merrill upgraded Schering-Plough (NYSE: SGP) to Buy from Neutral citing the company's better near-term pipeline outlook with two potential blockbusters to be approved over the next year. Schering-Plough's target was raised to $23 from $20.
- Morgan Stanley lifted RadioShack (NYSE: RSH) and Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) to Equal Weight from Underweight.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jefferies downgraded shares of Hologic (NASDAQ: HOLX) to Hold from Buy as they see limited near-term catalysts after the company reported a Q3 miss and lowered top-line guidance for FY08. The firm lowered their target to $24 from $28.
- Baird downgraded California Pizza (NASDAQ: CPKI) to Neutral from Outperform as they see limited near-term upside given the uncertain 2H08/2009 outlook. The company's target was lowered to $15 from $17.
- JP Morgan downgraded Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE: JLL) and CB Richard Ellis (NYSE: CBG) to Neutral from Overweight due to the continued challenging economic environment.
Analyst initiations:
- BC Capital initiated Dollar Financial(NYSE: DLLR) with an Outperform rating and $24 target. The firm likes Dollar's geographically diversified business and valuation.
Posted Jul 30th 2008 12:12PM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Walgreen Co (WAG), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Baird upgraded Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) to Outperform from Neutral following strong Q2 results as they expect comps momentum, operating leverage, and potentially favorable chicken wing costs to support healthy trends in 2H08.
- RBC Capital upgraded Myriad Genetics (NASDAQ: MYGN) to Outperform from Sector Perform citing solid core molecular diagnostics growth and increased confidence that the spin-out will generate better shareholder value.
Analyst downgrades:
- Citigroup downgraded shares of Wyeth (NYSE: WYE) to Sell from Hold following the disappointing bapineuzumab data and lowered their target to $39 from $49.
- Molson Coors (NYSE: TAP) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
- UBS lowered Affymetrix (NASDAQ: AFFX) and Sepracor (NASDAQ: SEPR) to Neutral from Buy.
- Sony (NYSE: SNE) was downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at HSBC.
Analyst initiations:
- Citigroup initiated Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE) with a Hold rating and $112 target. The firm believes regulatory concerns and a potential deceleration in energy trading volumes could limit upside in the stock near-term.
- Banc of America assumed Walgreen Co. (NYSE: WAG) with a Buy rating and $38 target and believes fewer new pharmacies openings removes an impediment to higher ROIC.
Posted Jul 29th 2008 11:31AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Abercrombie and Fitch (ANF), Electronic Data Systems (EDS), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Analyst initiations, Urban Outfitters (URBN), Marvel Entertainment (MVL)
Analyst upgrades:
- Citigroup upgraded shares of Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) to Buy from Hold and raised the target price to $70 from $50 following AMGN's better-than-expected Q2 results and positive Dmab results.
- Credit Suisse upgraded Electronic Data Systems (NYSE: EDS) to Neutral from Underperform and expects the Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) transaction to close at the $25/share price.
Analyst downgrades:
- JP Morgan downgraded OmniVision (NASDAQ: OVTI) to Neutral from Overweight citing slowing growth and increased competition, as well as the impact on margins.
- Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEP) was downgraded at Lehman to Equal Weight from Overweight.
- International Game Tech (NYSE: IGT) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.
Analyst initiations:
- KeyBanc said Visa's (NYSE: V) strengths are its recurring revenue model, significant pricing power, no consumer credit risk, operating leverage, expense flexibility, and considerable free cash flow, among other reasons. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating and $94 target.
- Regal Entertainment (NYSE: RGC) was assumed at Caris with an Average rating and $18 target. The firm sees tough comps ahead for the company and does not expect any meaningful price increases.
- Caris also initiated Marvel Entertainment (NYSE: MVL), as they are positive on the company's new financing vehicle. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $45 target.
- Goldman initiated textile, apparel and footwear stocks. Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO) and Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN) were initiated with Buy ratings, Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) were started with Neutral ratings and American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) was initiated with a Sell rating.
Posted Jul 28th 2008 11:11AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Best Buy (BBY), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades
- Rodman & Renshaw upgraded shares of Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) to Outperform from Market Perform following the positive top line results from the FREEDOM study. The firm established an $80 target. Jefferies upgraded shares to Buy from Hold following the positive top-line efficacy and safety results for Denosumab in PMO as they view it as a "big win." The firm raised their target to $71 from $47.
- Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America.
- Goldman upgraded Kimberly Clark (NYSE: KMB) to Neutral from Sell and Dick's Sporting Good (NYSE: DKS) to Buy from Neutral.
- Rowan Companies (NYSE: RDC) was lifted at JP Morgan to Neutral from Underweight.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jesup & Lamont downgraded shares of Moog (NYSE: MOG.A) to Neutral from Buy on concerns of the company's high rate of R&D and its relative valuation. Keefe Bruyette downgraded shares of Federated Investors to Market Perform from Outperform following the company's lower than expected Q2 results and cut their target to $35.
- Ryanair (NASDAQ: RYAAY) was cut to Hold from Buy at Citigroup.
Analyst initiations:
- Morgan Joseph believes Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN)'s positive FREEDOM trial results will have a profound and lasting impact on the company's growth but also on its scientific credibility. The firm initiated coverage with a Buy rating and $77 target.
- Piper assumed Ctrip.com (NASDAQ: CTRP) with a Neutral rating and Epicor Software (NASDAQ: EPIC) with a Buy rating and $8 target.
- Banc of America initiated Britannia Bulk (NYSE: DWT) with a Buy rating and $19 target.
Posted Jul 25th 2008 11:00AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded shares of Ensco International (NYSE: ESV) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they find the company's long-term EPS growth and potential upside from the GOM/Mexico jack-up market compelling.
- Friedman Billings upgraded Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) to Outperform from Market Perform following the better-than-expected Q2 report. The firm raised Juniper's target to $29 from $27.
- Friedman Billings upgraded shares of Southwestern Energy (NYSE: SWN) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation following the recent weakness. Southwestern's target was raised to $43 from $40.
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Merrill.
- Merrill also upgraded Delta (NYSE: DAL) to Buy from Neutral.
Analyst downgrades:
- Baird downgraded Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) to Neutral from Outperform following the company's weak Q2 report and guidance.
- Merriman cut Nautilus Group (NYSE: NLS) to Sell from Neutral to reflect the company's dependence on the consumer home fitness market at a time when consumer spending trends are weakening. The firm believes shares are overvalued and could potentially decline to the $4.00-$4.50 level.
- E.W. Scripps (NYSE: SSP) was downgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Overweight.
- HSBC lowered Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) to Neutral from Overweight.
- Epicor Software (NASDAQ: EPIC) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at KeyBanc.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations
Posted Jul 24th 2008 11:22AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst initiations
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Nova BioSource, Aventine Renewable and the REIT Sector were today's noteworthy initiations:
- ThinkPanmure believes Nova BioSource's (AMEX:NBF) biodiesal production process is economically superior to traditional processes but higher feedstock costs will make scaling difficult. Shares were initiated with an Accumulate rating.
- ThinkPanmure also initiated Aventine Renewable (NYSE:AVR) with an Accumulate rating and $8 target. The firm does not expect share upside until margin visibility improves, which will not occur until next year's corn crop materializes in early 2009.
- Lehman initiated the REIT sector with a Neutral rating; the firm started AMB Property (NYSE:AMB) and Kimco Realty (NYSE:KIM) with Overweight ratings and CBL & Associates (CBL) with an Underweight rating.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Posted Jul 24th 2008 11:20AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, McDonald's (MCD), AT and T (T), China Mobile Limited (CHL)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Varian, Chipotle Mexican Grill and McDonald's were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Thomas Weisel downgraded shares of Varian (NASDAQ:VARI) to Market Weight from Overweight following the company's Q3 results to reflect manufacturing relocation issues and the slowdown in organic growth. The firm lowered their target to $47 from $70.
- Jefferies cut Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) to Hold from Buy following the company's in-line Q2 results, as they believe consumer headwinds and commodity inflation are likely to pressure EPS in coming quarters. The firm lowered their target to $80 from $100.
- Deutsche Bank downgraded McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) to Hold from Buy as they believe higher beef costs and slower traffic could drive reduced profitability and limit upside. The firm reduced their target to $63 from $67.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- AT&T (NYSE:T) was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
- Baird cut Citrix Systems (NASDAQ:CTXS) to Neutral from Outperform.
- Raymond James (NYSE:RJF) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.
Posted Jul 24th 2008 11:09AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Citigroup Inc. (C)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Memc Electronic, Citigroup and Sanmina were today's noteworthy upgrades:
- Citigroup upgraded shares of Memc Electronic (NYSE:WFR) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they believe the bad news is priced in following the company's quarter. The firm raised Memc's target to $65 from $64. JP Morgan upgraded shares to Overweight from Neutral on valuation.
- Morgan Stanley upgraded Citigroup (NYSE:C) to Equal Weight from Underweight based on asset sales, improved top-line, and dividend.
- Credit Suisse upgraded Sanmina (NASDAQ:SANM) to Outperform from Neutral citing valuation and margin traction. The firm raised Sanmina's target to $2.50 from $1.60. Cowen upgraded Sanmina to Outperform from Neutral following the Q3 report and guidance.
OTHER UPGRADES:
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